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Alternative Thinking
The Illusion of Active Fixed Income Diversification
December 7, 2017
We examine popular active fixed income categories and find that a persistent overweight to high yield credit explains the majority of fixed-income managers’ active returns. We then discuss some key implications for asset owners.
Alternative Thinking
Ideas for a Low-Expected-Return World
1Q 2012
There are different ways to achieve ambitious real return targets, but we think risk-balanced diversification across well-chosen return sources is the most reliable, strategic approach.
Alternative Thinking
2014 Capital Market Assumptions for Major Asset Classes
1Q 2014
We present our capital market assumptions for major asset classes and explore justifiable frameworks for estimating multi-year expected returns.
Alternative Thinking
Bad Habits and Good Practices
3Q 2014
Good investing requires good investments and good investors. We discuss the latter and address bad habits that can affect long-term performance.
Alternative Thinking
Style Premia / Bond Returns
3Q 2013
We review how style premia have historically generated attractive long-run returns in virtually every place we have studied them, and may help reduce risk through better diversification. We then look at fixed income returns in different environments
Alternative Thinking
Style Investing in Fixed Income
3Q 2016
Systematic investing is often applied in equity markets but less so in fixed income. Here, we show that classic-style premia—typically applied in stock selection and equity country allocation—could have also work in fixed income markets.
Alternative Thinking
2016 Capital Market Assumptions for Major Asset Classes
1Q 2016
We update our multi-year expected return assumptions for major stock and bond markets, and investigate expected returns for credits and commodities.
Alternative Thinking
Systematic vs. Discretionary
3Q 2017
Systematic and fundamental investing approaches are not opposites. Both pursue the same objective and can be fundamentally-oriented. They can use similar inputs, but in different ways, to try to improve investment performance. Neither is necessarily better than the other.
White Paper
Tactical Tilts and Foregone Diversification
April 2, 2014
Investors tend to forget that tactical timing may incur a penalty: forgone diversification. We discuss that hurdle here, as well as the situations in which we would consider employing tactical timing.