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Journal Article

Commodities for the Long Run

This paper analyzes a novel data set of commodity futures prices between 1877-2015, allowing us to show that returns do vary significantly across business cycles but can add value to a diversified portfolio from an asset allocation perspective.

White Paper

Building a Better Commodities Portfolio

Rather than relying on passive indexes like the S&P GSCI and the Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index, investors can potentially build a better commodities portfolio by balancing risk across sectors and targeting a steady level of volatility through time.

Journal Article

Which Trend Is Your Friend?

The academic literature and real-world investors have put forth a whole host of strategies that on the surface appear unique but that are all related to trend-following at a high level.

Working Paper

Trends Everywhere

We provide new out-of-sample evidence on trend-following investing by studying its performance for 82 securities not previously examined and 16 long-short equity factors.

White Paper

You Can't Always Trend When You Want

We present a framework for understanding the drivers of trend-following returns and show that recent performance challenges are primarily due to muted moves across global markets rather than a change in trend following’s ability to translate market trends into profits.