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Working Paper
Deep Value
December 4, 2017
We examine the efficacy of a hypothetical deep value strategy—where the valuation spread between cheap and expensive securities is wide relative to its history—across global asset classes and also provide new evidence on competing theories for the value premium.
Working Paper
Global Return Variation
January 1, 1995
This paper presents evidence on the efficiency of global equity markets. Starting from the knowledge that markets are imperfectly efficient, our analysis seeks to determine to what degree the markets are inefficient.
Working Paper
Stock Returns, Inflation and the Volatility of Growth in the Money Supply
March 1, 1995
A large body of work documents a negative relation between expected nominal stock returns and expected inflation in the U.S. and other developed countries. We think the volatility of expected growth in the money supply is a determinant of this relation.
Journal Article
Political Risk in Emerging and Developed Markets
May 1, 1996
The often-observed link between dramatic political events and large market moves suggests that political risk can affect stock returns.
Journal Article
Style Timing: Value vs. Growth
January 1, 2000
A large body of academic and industry research supports the efficacy of value strategies for choosing individual stocks.
Journal Article
Parallels Between the Cross-Sectional Predictability of Stock and Country Returns
January 1, 1997
Firm characteristics such as book-to-market ratio, market equity and one-year past return help explain the cross-section of average returns on U.S.
Journal Article
Balancing on the Life Cycle: Target Date Funds Need Better Diversification
July 1, 2016
Traditional life-cycle strategies have some serious shortcomings.
Journal Article
Do Hedge Funds Hedge?
September 1, 2001
Intentionally or unintentionally, hedge funds appear to price their securities at a lag, we found in a cursory examination of monthly returns from 1994-2000.
Journal Article
The Great Divide
January 1, 2014
The Nobel committee recently recognized work on the Efficient Market Hypothesis with a dramatic splitting of the prize between EMH pioneer Eugene Fama and EMH critic Robert Shiller.