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Journal Article
A Changing Stock-Bond Correlation
Q1 2023
For the past two decades, the stock/bond correlation – a fundamental detriment of risk in traditional portfolios – has been consistently negative. However, this hasn’t always been the case, and a positive stock/bond correlation could reappear due to macroeconomic changes. In this article, we assess the broad implications this would have for investors and set out practical steps to prepare for such an outcome.
Journal Article
Portfolio Protection? It’s a Long (Term) Story…
April 23, 2020
Investors have a natural urge to protect their portfolios from sudden crashes, even though bad outcomes that unfold over longer periods are more detrimental to reaching long-term goals. We show risk-mitigating and diversifying strategies have added value more consistently than options-based hedging over the more important, longer drawdowns.
White Paper
Demystifying Illiquid Assets: Expected Returns for Private Real Estate
January 31, 2019
We try to demystify the risk and return of private real estate, considering theoretical arguments, historical average returns, and forward-looking yield-based analysis.
Journal Article
Demystifying Illiquid Assets: Expected Returns for Private Equity
January 31, 2019
We lay out a framework for expected returns for private equity that is based on a discounted cashflow framework similar to what we use for public stocks and bonds.
White Paper
Portfolio Construction Matters: A Simple Example Using Value and Momentum Themes
November 1, 2017
We compare two portfolio construction approaches, “mix” and “integrate,” and examine some examples to demonstrate how their differences may have important implications for practice.