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Working Paper

Trading Costs

Using live trade data from a large institutional money manager over a 19-year period, we find actual trading costs to be an order of magnitude smaller than previous studies suggest.

Working Paper

Decision-Making Under the Gambler's Fallacy

Reviewing decisions made by judges, loan officers and umpires in high-stakes contexts, we find them to be most consistent with the "gambler's fallacy"—meaning they were based as much on their own previous decisions as on the facts they were weighing.

White Paper

Explanations for the Momentum Premium

The momentum premium is well-established in the historical data, but there is little consensus for why it exists. We examine two popular theories, risk and behavioral, for momentum and find both are plausible explanations for the premium to persist

Journal Article

The Role of Shorting, Firm Size and Time on Market Anomalies

The pervasiveness, robustness and magnitude of return premia associated with size, value and momentum has made them the focal point for discussions of market efficiency, etc.

Journal Article

Time Series Momentum

We document an asset pricing anomaly we term “time series momentum,” which is remarkably consistent across very different asset classes and markets.

White Paper

A New Core Equity Paradigm

Combining successful investing styles to magnify their effects represents a new paradigm in active equity-portfolio management. Core Equities integrates value, momentum and profitability styles to offer a more persistent, systematic approach.

White Paper

The Case for Momentum Investing

Although a powerful investment style, momentum was largely unavailable to many investors. The introduction of the AQR Momentum Indices has been a pivotal development in momentum’s acceptance as an investment strategy.

Working Paper

More Banks, Less Crime? The Real and Social Effects of Bank Competition

Using a unique sample of commercial loans and mergers between large banks, this paper provides microlevel (within-county) evidence linking credit conditions to economic development and finds a spillover effect on crime.

Journal Article

Testing Agency Theory With Entrepreneur Effort and Wealth

We apply agency theory to an entrepreneurial setting by augmenting the standard principal-agent framework.We then test the model’s implications using unique data on entrepreneurial effort and wealth in privately held firms. In the model, a risk-averse entrepreneur seeking financing wishes to sell part of his equity stake to outside investors concerned with moral hazard.

Working Paper

The Political Economy of Financial Regulation: Evidence from U.S. State Usury Laws in the 19th Century

The authors review the development of financial regulation through the lens of U.S. state usury laws in the 19th century. Among other things, they find evidence that lending activity was affected by rate ceilings.