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Alternative Thinking
Bad Habits and Good Practices
3Q 2014
Good investing requires good investments and good investors. We discuss the latter and address bad habits that can affect long-term performance.
Book
Scorecasting: The Hidden Influences Behind How Sports Are Played and Games Are Won
January 1, 2012
Tobias Moskowitz teams up with Sports Illustrated writer L. Jon Wertheim, to overturn some of the most cherished truisms of sports. They reveal the hidden forces that shape how basketball, baseball, football, and hockey games are played, won and lost.
Working Paper
When Is Bargaining Successful? Negotiated Division of Tournament Prizes
June 5, 2008
High-stakes poker players often negotiate the distribution among a small number of finalists rather than playing through until only one player remains. We find that this setting is ideal for studying bargaining—this paper documents our findings.
Journal Article
The Pitfalls of Leveraged and Inverse ETFs
May 1, 2009
As market volatility reaches historic highs, investors have responded in various ways, including investing in funds that aim to deliver returns that are either a positive or inverse multiple of a stated index.
Journal Article
A Historical Perspective on Time-Varying Expected Returns
February 8, 2017
Investors naturally think about the expected returns of bonds based on their market yields, thus assuming time-varying expected returns.
Journal Article
When Everyone Runs for the Exit
January 1, 2009
The severe consequences for the global economy brought about by the 2008 liquidity crisis highlight the importance of liquidity risk.
Interview
Words from the Wise: An Interview with Richard Thaler
July 27, 2018
Richard Thaler, a founding father of behavioral finance and the 2017 recipient of the Nobel Prize in Economics, discusses his pioneering research, including how our behaviors influence decision making and investing and what to do about it.
Journal Article
The Disposition Effect and the Under-Reaction to News
August 1, 2006
Mounting evidence challenges the traditional view that securities are rationally priced to reflect publicly available information.
Journal Article
Asset Allocation and Bad Habits
September 17, 2014
This article documents the “bad habits” of investors in asset allocation practices.
Working Paper
Rationality and Risk Intelligence in Binary Betting
May 21, 2013
We seek to answer two questions about people who bet on financial-market outcomes: Do they have skill? Do they have risk intelligence? We analyzed a data set of 1.6 million bets to find out.