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Alternative Thinking
2021 Capital Market Assumptions for Major Asset Classes
Q1 2021
We update our estimates of medium-term (5- to 10-year) expected returns for major asset classes. We also discuss what investors should expect from the stock-bond correlation in the coming decade.
Perspective
Now There's Nothing Certain But Death
January 15, 2021
Over the last few years, we’ve built a considerable effort in tax-optimized investing. Admittedly, this was a little bit of a “if we build it, they will come” venture, given many taxable investors seem to ignore after-tax returns. Thus, it is gratifying to see my AQR colleagues win the Top Graham and Dodd Award for their research on tax optimization, a topic that I’ve long thought deserved a much more prominent place in asset management.
White Paper
Don’t Hate the Asset; Hate the Constraint
November 20, 2020
What role do bonds play in a portfolio today? We explain why it all depends on investors’ ability to own them in a capital efficient way.
Working Paper
Climate Finance
October 29, 2020
The paper reviews the literature studying interactions between climate change and financial markets, including various approaches to incorporating climate risk in macro-finance models as well as the empirical literature that explores the pricing of climate risks across several asset classes.
Alternative Thinking
Was That Intentional? Ways to Improve Your Active Risk
September 28, 2020
Investors try to outperform their strategic asset allocation benchmarks by taking active risks. Some of these are intentional, but others are low-conviction or even unintentional, which can be a large part of a portfolio’s total active risk. When it comes to beating a strategic asset allocation benchmark, reducing these unintentional active risks may among the clearest sources of “low hanging fruit”.
Alternative Thinking
2020 Capital Market Assumptions for Major Asset Classes (Supplemental Estimates as of March 31, 2020)
May 6, 2020
This supplement provides a special update to our estimates of medium-term (5- to 10-year) expected returns for major asset classes. This update reflects the large changes in prices for many asset classes due to the impact of COVID-19 in Q1 2020.
White Paper
Enhanced Portfolio Optimization
March 2, 2020
We show how to identify the portfolios that cause problems in standard mean-variance optimization (MVO) and develop an enhanced portfolio optimization (EPO) method that addresses the problems. Applying EPO on several realistic datasets, we find significant gains relative to standard benchmarks.
Alternative Thinking
2020 Capital Market Assumptions for Major Asset Classes
January 29, 2020
We update our estimates of medium-term (5- to 10-year) expected returns for major asset classes, and introduce a method for quantifying the expected return on cash.
White Paper
More Superstar Investors: Neil Woodford and Terry Smith
May 28, 2019
We examine the track records of two renowned U.K. fund managers: Neil Woodford and Terry Smith and find that a large part of their long-term success is due to patient exposure to well-rewarded factor premia.
White Paper
More Superstar Investors: Francisco Garcia Parames
May 28, 2019
We examine the track record of Spanish investor Francisco Garcia Parames, leading Portfolio Manager of Bestinver Asset Management, and find that a large part of his success is attributable to patient exposure to well-rewarded factor premia.