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White Paper
Certainly Uncertain
May 16, 2023
We certainly find ourselves in uncertain times – but how uncertain are they? We show macro uncertainty is currently high versus history. We also address whether elevated macro uncertainty is likely to persist, or if we should instead expect a return to the low uncertainty environment. Lastly, we address the implications for investors, both in terms of possible returns to traditional assets, and as to what alternatives might prosper or decline in such an environment.
Working Paper
Risk Parity Is Not Short Volatility (Not That There's Anything Wrong with Short Volatility)
August 21, 2019
Are risk parity strategies hiding an implicit short volatility? To find out, we simulated stylized versions of three asset-class (equity, fixed income, and commodities) risk parity and short volatility strategies, and we compared the trading behavior and returns of each.
White Paper
Not Risk Parity Funds
February 7, 2018
The source of the recent market disruption may not be fully understood yet, but we can reveal what it wasn’t.
Perspective
Risk Parity Derangement Syndrome
February 7, 2018
Cliff Asness explains why risk parity and trend-following strategies are not to blame for the recent market volatility.
Perspective
Putting Parity Performance Into Perspective
December 3, 2015
Cliff discusses the blame placed on risk parity for having caused the market’s August sell-off. Critics made a silly choice to go all tin-foil-hat instead of just doing what people usually do—attack recent performance.
Perspective
Risk Parity: The Dog That Did Not Bite
September 21, 2015
Commentators are blaming risk parity as a driving force behind August's equity market volatility. We think this is short-term silliness, and explain why we believe risk parity isn't the cause.
White Paper
Dog Bites Man: In August, Equity Selling in Risk Parity Was a Tiny Fraction of Market Volume
September 21, 2015
Commentators like to believe all price changes are about investors moving capital. But prices can move without trading, or with very little trading, if investors’ assessments of fundamentals or their eagerness to take risk, changes.
Perspective
Risk Parity Is Even Better Than We Thought
June 1, 2015
It’s not all or nothing when it comes to risk parity. Investors typically think they should be all 60/40 or all risk parity, but we think there's merit in adding risk parity to an existing 60/40 portfolio.
Perspective
Yes, Lever, but With Care
February 13, 2015
Conventional wisdom holds that sensible investors avoid leverage. Cliff Asness argues that, if prudently employed, portfolio leverage can be beneficial in modest doses, with proper concern for its dangers.
Risk Parity in Target-Date Funds
December 2, 2014
Target-date funds (TDF) have a few shortcomings, but we believe that implementing risk parity as a sleeve within a TDF can help—by potentially enhancing returns, mitigating risk and reducing portfolio drawdowns.