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Data Set
Time Series Momentum: Factors, Monthly
August 31, 2021
We have updated and extended our data set for “Time Series Momentum" (Moskowitz, Ooi and Pedersen, 2012), in which we document an asset-pricing anomaly that is consistent across different asset classes and markets. We update the returns monthly.
Sic Transit Gloria Mundi
February 25, 2020
To quote Kipling, it’s crucial to “meet with Triumph and Disaster and treat those two imposters just the same.” Cliff explains that throughout the good and bad times, we’ve stressed that long-term investment success is about sticking with real but modest edges.
Journal Article
Trends Everywhere
May 15, 2019
We provide new out-of-sample evidence on trend-following investing by studying its performance for 82 securities not previously examined and 16 long-short equity factors.
Journal Article
You Can't Always Trend When You Want
April 23, 2019
We present a framework for understanding the drivers of trend-following returns and show that recent performance challenges are primarily due to muted moves across global markets rather than a change in trend following’s ability to translate market trends into profits.
White Paper
Trend Following in Focus
September 19, 2018
We use live data of trend-focused managers starting in 2000 via the SG Trend Index to contextualize recent performance and to re-affirm the merits of the strategy.
Data Set
Time Series Momentum: Original Paper Data
February 27, 2018
This is the original data set for “Time Series Momentum" (Moskowitz, Ooi and Pedersen, 2012), in which we document an asset-pricing anomaly that is consistent across different asset classes and markets.
Journal Article
A Century of Evidence on Trend-Following Investing
November 1, 2017
We simulate a trend-following strategy back to 1880 and investigate whether strong performance over a few decades was a statistical fluke, or a more robust phenomenon that may hold true over a wide range of economic conditions.
White Paper
A Half Century of Macro Momentum
August 10, 2017
"Macro momentum has the potential to deliver strong positive returns with low correlation to traditional asset classes across macroeconomic and market environments. It may also provide diversification benefits in bear equity markets and rising yield environments. "
Journal Article
Which Trend Is Your Friend?
March 17, 2016
The academic literature and real-world investors have put forth a whole host of strategies that on the surface appear unique but that are all related to trend-following at a high level.
DC Solutions Series: Trend Following Strategies in Target-Date Funds
January 27, 2016
We focus on the need for target-date funds to better protect against losses during equity market drawdowns and to better diversify. We suggest incorporating trend following as a potential solution, which may mitigate the problems caused by equity risk concentration.