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Working Paper
Credit Implied Volatility
March 10, 2015
This paper introduces the concept of a credit implied volatility surface. The credit implied volatility (CIV) can be interpretable as risk-neutral asset volatility of the underlying firm—the slope of the CIV term structure is negative in downturns and positive during expansions.
Journal Article
The Credit Risk Premium
January 15, 2017
Using data spanning 80 years in the U.S. and nearly 20 years in Europe, the authors of this paper find what they characterize as strong evidence of credit risk premium after correctly adjusting for term risk.
Working Paper
Asset-Measurement Uncertainty and Credit-Term Structure
April 5, 2011
Studying the spike in financial market volatility in 2007, this paper tests whether credit investors’ uncertainty about a company’s asset values affects short-term credit spreads and the underlying credit term-structure.
Journal Article
How Sovereign Is Sovereign Credit Risk?
April 1, 2011
Is sovereign credit risk primarily a country-specific type of risk, or is it driven by global macroeconomic forces external to the country? Understanding the nature of sovereign credit risk is of key importance given the large and rapidly increasing size of the sovereign debt markets.
Journal Article
Credit Markets and Financial Information
September 1, 2011
Lakshmanan Shivakumar, Oktay Urcan, Florin P.
Journal Article
Sustainable Systematic Credit
September 7, 2021
Interest in sustainable investing is now expanding into fixed income. This paper assesses how measures of sustainability/ESG might be relevant for corporate bonds and analyzes how ESG measures can be incorporated into an investment process to achieve the joint object of maximizing risk-adjusted returns and a sustainability target.
Option-Based Credit Spreads
2015 FIRST PRIZE Christopher L. Culp, Ph.D., Yoshio Nozawa, Ph.D., and Pietro Veronesi, Ph.D.
Journal Article
Asset Reliability and Security Prices Evidence From Credit Markets
March 3, 2014
This paper explores the relation between the reliability of an enterprise’s accounting and its security prices.
Data Set
Credit Risk Premium: Preliminary Paper Data
February 27, 2018
This data set is related to “Credit Risk Premium: Its Existence and Implications for Asset Allocation." Using data from both cash bond markets (1927–2014) and synthetic CDS markets (2004–2014), we document evidence of a sizable credit risk premium.
Working Paper
Cash-Flow Maturity and Risk Premia in CDS Markets
November 12, 2014
We study the risk adjusted returns of credit default swaps of different maturities to learn more about the impact of higher sensitivities to credit fundamentals.