In this issue of the DC Solutions series, we focus on the need for target-date funds (TDFs) to better protect against losses during equity drawdowns and to better diversify their asset allocations. We suggest incorporating trend following as a potential solution to these issues, and discuss the benefits this may have for defined contribution (DC) retirement plan participants.
- We discuss how equity risk concentration leaves TDFs highly susceptible to losses during equity drawdowns, particularly near retirement
- Trend following may help mitigate this problem, as it has historically been diversifying to the assets within a traditional TDF and has shown a valuable potential to generate positive returns during equity drawdowns
- Trend following has historically worked across a wide variety of liquid assets, and we believe it may generate better risk-adjusted returns when diversified across assets and trend horizons
- When implemented within a TDF, trend following may not only help protect wealth during equity drawdowns, but may also increase real ending retirement wealth
Trend following can help mitigate the problems caused by equity risk concentration. This may help participants achieve their retirement goals of both accumulating wealth and preserving it during difficult equity market environments.
The information contained herein is only as current as of the date indicated, and may be superseded by subsequent market events or for other reasons. The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of AQR Capital Management, LLC, its affiliates or its employees. This information is not intended to, and does not relate specifically to any investment strategy or product that AQR offers. It is being provided merely to provide a framework to assist in the implementation of an investor’s own analysis and an investor’s own view on the topic discussed herein. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.