Q1 2022
We update our estimates of medium-term (5- to 10-year) expected returns for major asset classes. We also include an analysis that attempts to reconcile ever-lower expected returns with ever-higher realized returns and suggests practical strategic steps to boost portfolio expected returns.
Tax Aware
January 10, 2022
As a result of recent Treasury regulations, investors in investment partnerships, such as hedge funds, might end up recognizing capital gains when they contribute their partnership interests to a charity. We explain how such taxable gains upon charitable contributions arise and quantify how punitive they might be.
Tax Aware
November 17, 2021
With the current proposals for (and the future expectations of) various tax rate hikes, investors with appreciated portfolios might feel like sailing into a storm and wondering, is it still better to defer gains if tax rates were to increase?
Macroeconomics
October 27, 2021
Financial markets have had a relatively muted reaction to the recent bout of higher than expected inflation. We assess what might explain markets’ sanguine response. We explain why we believe there are factors suggesting a return to low inflation readings is unlikely in the near term, and what the investment implications might be of such a scenario.
Portfolio Risk and Performance
October 27, 2021
The events of 2020 to 2021 have increased uncertainty around the future path of inflation. We review how different inflationary outcomes can impact investor portfolios and evaluate what assets and strategies may enhance portfolio resilience to inflation.
Tax Matters
October 6, 2021
Hedge funds are commonly perceived as investments that allocate large amounts of taxable capital gains and income to their investors. But what if a hedge fund realizes a taxable loss? Under the new rules in the TCJA and the CARES Act, can hedge fund investors still benefit from tax offsets offered by realized losses and deductions—and to what extent?
Fixed Income
September 7, 2021
Interest in sustainable investing is now expanding into fixed income. This paper assesses how measures of sustainability/ESG might be relevant for corporate bonds and analyzes how ESG measures can be incorporated into an investment process to achieve the joint object of maximizing risk-adjusted returns and a sustainability target.
Tax Aware
September 2, 2021
In this post, we discuss challenges of wealth preservation and growth faced by high net worth families. While a family that invests with income tax and estate tax efficiency in mind is more likely to achieve its financial legacy goals, the numerical advantages of tax efficiency are quite striking. In addition, we show that there is a significant value in integrating income tax efficiency and estate tax planning.
Tax Aware
July 28, 2021
We often hear the sentiment that tax-efficient investing just delays the inevitable: Eventually, a day will come when the tax-efficient investor will have to true up on years of deferred taxes. And, with the proposed Biden Tax Plan sending many investors scrambling to plan for higher taxes, we feel that now is as good a time as any to put this long-standing myth to bed.
Fixed Income
July 26, 2021
In this overview of the various factors that influence government bond yields, we show that both in theory and in the data, non-monetary policy factors drive significant variation in yields, particularly at longer maturities. Despite the exceptionally low yield environments we have witnessed, fundamentals continue to drive bond markets.
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