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Perspective

Efficient Inefficiency: The Oxymoron That Explains the Investing World

Lasse Pedersen's new book, Efficiently Inefficient, is almost too good at laying out how successful professional asset managers think and act.

Working Paper

Measuring Systemic Risk

We present a simple model of systemic risk and show how each financial institution’s contribution to systemic risk can be measured and priced—its propensity to be undercapitalized when the system as a whole is undercapitalized, which increases in its leverage, volatility, correlation, and tail-dependence.

Working Paper

Embedded Leverage

Embedded leverage—the amount of market exposure per unit of committed capital—has become an important feature of financial instruments. We study embedded leverage in equity options, index options and ETFs, and how it affects the required returns.

Working Paper

Risk Everywhere: Modeling and Managing Volatility

This paper finds similarities in realized volatility patterns across assets and asset classes, based on a high-frequency dataset for more than 50 commodities, currencies, equity indices and fixed income instruments spanning more than two decades.

Working Paper

A Reduced Form CoCo Model With Deterministic Conversion Intensity

Some financial institutions issue contingent convertible bonds to cushion their capital reserves in times of crisis. This paper builds a contingent convertible bond model with a minimum of stochastic factors that can be calibrated to market prices of related securities.

Journal Article

How Index Trading Increases Market Vulnerability

Passively managed index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have experienced accelerating growth in recent decades.

Journal Article

Measuring Global Systemic Risk: What Are Markets Saying About Risk?

Systemic market events arise with increasing frequency in our complex, adaptive and highly interconnected markets.

Journal Article

The Low-Volatility Anomaly: Market Evidence on Systemic Risk vs. Mispricing

Researchers have demonstrated a long-term connection between future stock returns and various measures of prior stock price variability.

Journal Article

A Framework for Identifying Accounting Characteristics for Asset Pricing Models, with an Evaluation of Book-to-Price

We provide a framework for identifying accounting numbers that indicate risk and expected return.

Working Paper

Deleveraging Risk

Using various measures of short selling activity for a large sample of U.S. securities, we find evidence that deleveraging risk—the risk of losses due to a sudden and widespread reduction in stocks held by levered investors—affects equity returns.