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Working Paper

Forecasting the Distribution of Option Returns

We propose a method for constructing conditional option return distributions.

Interview

Meet the Expert: Roni Israelov on Volatility

AQR Principal Roni Israelov answers questions about the volatility risk premium (VRP), including how it is similar to other alternative risk premia and how AQR implements it.

Working Paper

Being Right is Not Enough: Buying Options to Bet on Higher Realized Volatility

Should investors who buy options expect to profit when realized volatility increases? If so, under what conditions? To answer these questions, we analyzed the relationship between long volatility performance (buying options) and contemporaneous changes in volatility.

White Paper

Understanding the Volatility Risk Premium

The volatility risk premium (VRP) represents the compensation that investors earn for providing protection against market losses. We explain the reasons why it may exist and explore its historical performance with a simple option-selling strategy.

Perspective

Wild but Not Crazy

Just how volatile was the recent market ride? Cliff Asness puts the volatility into perspective in terms of both its absolute and surprise levels.

Journal Article

Pathetic Protection: The Elusive Benefits of Protective Puts

Conventional wisdom is that put options are effective drawdown protection tools.

Journal Article

A Winner in the Prestigious Fama-DFA Prizes: Betting Against Correlation: Testing Theories of the Low-Risk Effect

“Betting Against Correlation: Testing Theories of the Low-Risk Effect” won second place in the Journal of Financial Economics’ 2020 Fama-DFA Prizes for Capital Markets and Asset Pricing. We test whether it's driven by leverage constraints (and thus risk should be measured using beta) or behavioral effects (and thus risk should be measured by idiosyncratic risk).

Journal Article

The Low-Volatility Anomaly: Market Evidence on Systemic Risk vs. Mispricing

Researchers have demonstrated a long-term connection between future stock returns and various measures of prior stock price variability.

Journal Article

Covered Calls Uncovered

Journal Article

Covered Call Strategies: One Fact and Eight Myths

Call overwriting is a method of simultaneously expressing a view on a security and its volatility, and the CBOE S&P 500 BuyWrite Index (BXM) is one of many ways to get exposure to the equity and volatility risk premia.