Asset Allocation

Long Horizon Predictability: A Cautionary Tale

We show there is much less evidence of long-horizon return predictability than existing research suggests, casting doubt over claims about forecasts based on stock market valuations and factor timing.

Factor/Style Investing

Time-Varying Leverage Demand and Predictability of Betting-Against-Beta

We test the predictability of betting-against-beta (BAB) strategies and find that they perform better when past market returns have been high.

Tax Aware

The Tax Benefits of Separating Alpha from Beta

We show how separating a portfolio into an active long-short portfolio and a passive index portfolio can have significant tax benefits.

Factor/Style Investing

Fact, Fiction and the Size Effect

Despite its long and illustrious history, much confusion about the size effect remains. We examine common claims about the size effect and seek to clarify some of the misunderstanding surrounding it.

Tax Aware

Multi-Period After-Tax Reporting: A Practical Solution

We propose an after-tax performance report aimed at enhancing wealth preservation and accumulation for taxable investors.

Fixed Income

(Il)liquidity Premium in Credit Markets: A Myth?

Do investors demand a risk premium for holding less liquid corporate bonds? We investigate the evidence.

Factor/Style Investing

Implementing Momentum: What Have We Learned?

We use seven years of live data to evaluate the implementability of momentum investing.

Factor/Style Investing

Deep Value

We examine the efficacy of a hypothetical deep value strategy—where the valuation spread between cheap and expensive securities is wide relative to its history—across global asset classes and also provide new evidence on competing theories for the value premium.

Portfolio Construction

Portfolio Construction Matters: A Simple Example Using Value and Momentum Themes

We compare two portfolio construction approaches, “mix” and “integrate,” and examine some examples to demonstrate how their differences may have important implications for practice.