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Perspective

The Raisons d'être of Managed Futures

Managed Futures strategies have an implicit dual mandate, First, to deliver positive returns on average and second, to generate especially attractive returns during large equity market drawdowns. This is one of the big reasons managed futures strategies can be valuable in a portfolio. Unfortunately, by and large, the industry—intentionally or not—has been optimizing for one at the expense of the other by introducing carry and market beta exposure.

Journal Article

How Do Factor Premia Vary Over Time? A Century of Evidence

We examine four prominent factor premia – value, momentum, carry, and defensive – over a century from six asset classes. The results offer support for time-varying risk premia models with important implications for theory seeking to explain the sources of factor returns.

Bibliography

Carry Bibliography

We have compiled a list of books, journal articles and working papers that were helpful in developing our research around carry investing.

Journal Article

Carry

An asset’s “carry” is its expected return assuming that market conditions, including its price, stay the same. We find that carry predicts returns both in the cross section and time series for a variety of different asset classes.

Working Paper

Carry Trades and Currency Crashes

Is there a strong link between a currency carry strategy and crash risk? We find that investing in high-interest-rate currencies while borrowing in low-interest-rate currencies delivers negatively skewed returns.