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Chief Investment Quarterly

You Can’t Hedge, but You Can Diversify

Investors may benefit from adding diversifiers to their portfolios, but diversifiers aren’t hedges. Hedges serve a different purpose…unless they’re from Texas.

Chief Investment Quarterly

Late Cycle Syndrome

The concern that the economy is nearing the end of its expansion phase has important implications for investors. We take a look at the data on “late cycle” indicators to see what they really tell us.

Perspective

Is (Systematic) Value Investing Dead?

When value has underperformed for so long, it’s natural and proper that people wonder if it’s ever going to work again. To test the popular explanations for why value investing is “broken,” Cliff tweaks the value factor’s construction to remove the stocks that best fit these stories. He finds no “this time is different” explanation holds water, affirming our belief that the medium-term odds are rather dramatically on value’s side.

Perspective

Virtue Is its Own Reward: Or, One Man’s Ceiling Is Another Man’s Floor

We examine negative screening in Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investing, often promoted as virtuous because it avoids “sin stocks” and other assets deemed undesirable. But does it also enhance expected returns?

Perspective

It Ain't What You Don't Know That Gets You Into Trouble

My colleagues have written two papers questioning things we thought we knew. The first questions what we really know about current stock market valuations forecasting long-horizon future returns and the second explores whether or not the size effect really exists.

Perspective

SNAFU: Situation Normal, All-FANGed Up

Cliff tackles a story making the rounds about stock market performance in 2015. Was it, in fact, very “narrow” and driven by the “FANG” stocks (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google)?

Journal Article

Exploring Macroeconomic Sensitivities

Forecasting economic and market conditions is no easy task.

Journal Article

Fees Paid to Audit Firms, Accrual Choices and Corporate Governance

Research has shown that auditors’ tolerance for aggressive corporate accounting is correlated with the amount of fees the corporate client pays to the auditor for both audit and non-audit services.

Journal Article

Fight the Fed Model

Strategists, portfolio managers and market pundits often claim that the high market multiples of recent times are justified by low interest rates and/or inflation. The most widespread version of this comparison of stocks to bonds is often deemed the Fed model.

Journal Article

How Costly Is Financial (Not Economic) Distress?

This paper studies 31 highly leveraged transactions (HLTs) of the 1980s that subsequently became financially distressed.