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Perspective

You Can Have Your Momentum Factor and Eat it Too

Many investors are quick to dismiss momentum as too costly to implement because of its high turnover. After studying 7 years’ worth of live, real-world data across markets, we debunk that myth.

Book

Expected Returns: An Investors Guide to Harvesting Market Rewards

Finance theories have changed dramatically over the past 30 years, away from the restrictive theories of the single-factor CAPM, efficient markets, and constant expected returns.

Book

Expected Returns on Major Asset Classes

Expected returns are arguably the most important input into investment decisions. By broadening the traditional paradigm of expected return estimation, we think investors have the ability achive better-diversified portfolios and more forward-looking analysis.

Journal Article

Momentum Crashes

A momentum strategy is a bet that past returns will predict future returns in the cross-section of assets, and is typically implemented by buying past winners and selling past losers.

Journal Article

Momentum in Japan: The Exception That Proves the Rule

Momentum strategies have been notable successes in most places researchers have looked.

Journal Article

The Devil in HML's Details

This paper challenges the standard method for measuring “value” used in academic work on factor pricing.

Journal Article

Value and Momentum Everywhere

We find consistent value and momentum return premia across eight diverse markets and asset classes, and a strong common factor structure among their returns.

Journal Article

Do Industries Explain Momentum?

The ability to outperform buy-and-hold strategies by acquiring past winning stocks and selling past losing stocks, commonly referred to as "individual stock momentum," remains one of the most puzzling of these anomalies, both because of its magnitude (up to 12 percent abnormal return per dollar long on a self-financing strategy per year) and because of the peculiar horizon pattern that it seems to follow: Trading based on individual stock momentum appears to be a poor strategy when using a short historical horizon for portfolio formation (especially less than one month); it is highly profitable at intermediate horizons (up to 24 months, although it is strongest in the 6- to 12-month range); and is again a poor strategy at longer horizons. This paper largely focuses on the positive persistence in stock returns (or momentum effect) over intermediate investment horizons (6 to 12 months) and explores various explanations for its existence.

Journal Article

Factor Momentum Everywhere

Can individual factors be reliably timed based on their recent performance? This study of 65 widely-studied, characteristic-based equity factors aims to find out.

Journal Article

Pronounced Momentum Patterns Ahead of Major Events

Many financial asset measures exhibit a weak continuation tendency.